6 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1348 69 Strength Momentum |
1089 64.4(4) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09/01/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.007 | 1182 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1482 | 68% | |
09/03/15 | Piedra Vista | 0.013 | 1031 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1375 | 89% | |
09/10/15 | Los Alamos | 0.031 | 1191 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1506 | 74% | |
09/11/15 | at Farmington ? | 0.052 | 1352 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-2) | 1266 | 45% | |
09/12/15 | at Albuquerque Academy ?? | 0.060 | 1330 | L 2- 4 | Expected (-2) | 1255 | 48% | |
09/15/15 | Los Lunas !! | 0.048 | 1217 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1570 | 70% | |
09/17/15 | at Cleveland | 0.116 | 1459 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1369 | 32% | |
09/19/15 | at Bosque | 0.125 | 1089 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1335 | 79% | |
09/25/15 | at Bloomfield | 0.021 | 761 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1590 | 98% | |
09/26/15 | Farmington | 0.291 | 1352 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1384 | 53% | |
09/28/15 | Navajo Prep | 0.048 | 506 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1431 | 100% | |
10/03/15 | at Rehoboth Christian ! | 0.040 | 802 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1611 | 97% | |
10/06/15 | Bloomfield | 0.083 | 761 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1558 | 99% | |
10/07/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.608 | 1186 | W 4- 2 | Expected (0) | 1351 | 75% | |
10/10/15 | Rehoboth Christian | 0.101 | 802 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1579 | 99% | |
10/13/15 | Kirtland Central | 0.242 | 893 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1514 | 97% | |
10/16/15 | Bosque | 0.796 | 1089 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1353 | 85% | |
10/17/15 | at Kirtland Central | 0.794 | 893 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1237 | 94% | |
10/23/15 | at Navajo Prep | 0.125 | 506 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1407 | 100% | |
10/24/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.745 | 1186 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1433 | 67% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Hope Christian actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1089, while
Hope Christian's "weighted playing strength" is 1373
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
Go back to ratings for Boys Varsity Girls Varsity Main Page